GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/27/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Zarate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Everton La Plata are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Zarate hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 11% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano ZarateLDLWD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Everton La PlataLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Belgrano ZarateEverton La Plata
25.0Attack16.7
80.6Defence69.4
47.2Form25.0
53.5Power40.0
0.51xG0.30
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