GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/26/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Zarate are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Estrella Del Sur are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano ZarateLLLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.25/2.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Estrella Del SurWWLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Belgrano ZarateEstrella Del Sur
25.0Attack51.9
80.6Defence76.5
47.2Form71.6
53.5Power67.7
0.37xG0.71
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