GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/21/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Zarate are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Estrella de Berisso are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Zarate hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano ZarateLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella de BerissoWDWWD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Belgrano ZarateEstrella de Berisso
25.0Attack43.3
80.6Defence60.0
47.2Form46.7
53.5Power50.2
0.65xG0.56
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