GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/20/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Zarate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Metalurgico are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Metalurgico hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano ZarateDLWDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Belgrano ZarateDeportivo Metalurgico
25.0Attack57.6
80.6Defence78.8
47.2Form75.8
53.5Power70.3
0.36xG0.80
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