GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 10/5/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensores Glew · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Zarate are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Defensores Glew are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores Glew hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Defensores Glew holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensores Glew

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Defensores Glew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano ZarateDDWDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores GlewDWDDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Belgrano ZarateDefensores Glew
25.0Attack80.0
80.6Defence76.7
47.2Form66.7
53.5Power71.6
0.37xG1.00
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