GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/10/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Zarate are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Barrancas UMET are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrancas UMET hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano ZarateLDLDL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Barrancas UMETWDDWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Belgrano ZarateBarrancas UMET
25.0Attack35.9
80.6Defence82.1
47.2Form69.2
53.5Power64.6
0.37xG0.49
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