Torneo Promocional AmateurTorneo Promocional Amateur
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Belgrano Zarate

Belgrano Zarate

Home
W
21
Full time
Alumni Los Hornos

Alumni Los Hornos

Away
LW
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
Belgrano Zarate(49%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Belgrano Zarate
Win probability
Belgrano Zarate
49%
Draw
29%
Alumni Los Hornos
22%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Belgrano Zarate
73
Alumni Los Hornos
34
Defence
Belgrano Zarate
66
Alumni Los Hornos
66
Momentum
Belgrano Zarate
100
Alumni Los Hornos
50
Danger (xG)
Belgrano Zarate
1.80
Alumni Los Hornos
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Belgrano Zarate)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Alumni Los Hornos)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Belgrano Zarate)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Alumni Los Hornos)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Belgrano ZarateBelgrano Zarate
W
Alumni Los HornosAlumni Los Hornos
LW

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Belgrano Zarate49%
Draw29%
Alumni Los Hornos22%

Belgrano Zarate leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Belgrano Zarate head into this in Torneo Promocional Amateur fixture in mixed form (W), while Alumni Los Hornos arrive in mixed form (LW). Belgrano Zarate have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Alumni Los Hornos over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Belgrano Zarate (66/100) and Alumni Los Hornos (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Belgrano Zarate have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Alumni Los Hornos have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Belgrano Zarate have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Belgrano Zarate to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Belgrano Zarate 4935%, Draw 2880%, Alumni Los Hornos 2185%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Belgrano Zarate 1Draws 00 Alumni Los Hornos
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Belgrano Zarate
W21
Alumni Los Hornos

Recent form

Belgrano Zarate

Belgrano Zarate

W
vs Alumni Los Hornos
17 Jul 2026
21
Alumni Los Hornos

Alumni Los Hornos

L
@ Belgrano Zarate
17 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Uribelarrea
11 Jul 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos?

GoalVio's model predicts Belgrano Zarate to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more