Belgrano Córdoba Res.vs
Newell's Old Boys Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newell's Old Boys Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Belgrano Córdoba Res. 2-0 Newell's Old Boys Res.
Original prediction
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.7% | 32.2% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.3% | 29.3% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.0% | 38.5% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Newell's Old Boys Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00