Argentina · Reserve League · 10/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes La Plata Res · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0-2 Estudiantes La Plata Res
Original prediction
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.6% | 33.0% | -12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.7% | 28.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.7% | 38.5% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Estudiantes La Plata Res has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60