GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/4/2023, 10:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Cordoba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while River Plate are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Cordoba hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano CordobaDLLWD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
River PlateWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Belgrano CordobaRiver Plate
38.9Attack38.9
75.0Defence72.2
59.7Form50.0
59.5Power54.7
0.71xG0.53
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