Belgrano Cordobavs
River Plate
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/18/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 River Plate, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Belgrano Cordoba 0-3 River Plate
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 27.5% | 36.3% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 31.1% | 33.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 41.4% | 30.0% | -11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Belgrano Cordoba 0–0 River Plate
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.7%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00