GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/15/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belgrano Cordoba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Cordoba are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Tomayapo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Cordoba hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 27.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Belgrano Cordoba holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belgrano Cordoba

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Belgrano Cordoba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano CordobaDDWDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Real TomayapoWLDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Belgrano CordobaReal Tomayapo
33.3Attack14.3
70.8Defence47.6
50.0Form9.5
53.7Power27.6
1.24xG0.49
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