GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 4/26/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belgrano Cordoba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Belgrano Cordoba are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Independ. Rivadavia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independ. Rivadavia hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Copa Argentina, while Belgrano Cordoba holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belgrano Cordoba

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

Belgrano Cordoba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano CordobaWWWWD

GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Independ. RivadaviaWWWDD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Belgrano CordobaIndepend. Rivadavia
83.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence100.0
66.7Form100.0
71.2Power86.5
1.26xG1.13
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