GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/22/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Belgrano Cordoba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano CordobaLLDDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico ParanaenseLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Belgrano CordobaAtletico Paranaense
33.3Attack72.2
70.8Defence66.7
50.0Form69.4
53.7Power67.9
0.73xG1.33
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