World Cup
Belgium
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Belgium leads with 64% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Belgium head into this in World Cup fixture at Lumen Field in strong form (LWWWD), while Senegal arrive struggling for consistency (LWLLW). Belgium have a 50% win rate across their last 6 matches, compared to 40% for Senegal over 5 games.
Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Belgium (83/100) and Senegal (79/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.
Belgium have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Senegal have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 4 away matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.
Belgium have generated 1.93 xG per game recently while conceding 1.35 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 80% of recent matches. Senegal have generated 2.11 xG per game recently while conceding 1.49 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 75% of recent matches.
Belgium have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Belgium to win with 60% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Belgium 6430%, Draw 1830%, Senegal 1730%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Belgium
Senegal
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Belgium vs Senegal?
GoalVio's model predicts Belgium to win with 60% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Senegal?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Belgium vs Senegal?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Belgium vs Senegal?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.