Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.7%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BelgiumLWLWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ItalyWDWLW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BelgiumItaly
50.0Attack66.7
58.3Defence58.3
50.0Form58.3
52.3Power60.7
1.32xG1.35