World Cup
Belgium
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Belgium leads with 65% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Belgium head into this in World Cup fixture at Lumen Field in strong form (LWWWD), while Egypt arrive finding it hard to convert draws into wins (LDDWD). Belgium have a 50% win rate across their last 6 matches, compared to 30% for Egypt over 10 games.
The model rates Belgium's attack at 83/100 against a 62/100 Egypt defence, and Egypt's attack at 50/100 against a 60/100 Belgium backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Belgium have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Egypt have won 1 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.
Belgium have generated 1.93 xG per game recently while conceding 1.35 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 80% of recent matches. Egypt have generated 1.25 xG per game recently while conceding 1.93 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Belgium to win with 66% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Belgium 6480%, Draw 1980%, Egypt 1550%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Head to head
Recent form
Belgium
Egypt
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Belgium vs Egypt?
GoalVio's model predicts Belgium to win with 66% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Egypt?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.
Will both teams score in Belgium vs Egypt?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Belgium vs Egypt?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.