Belgium U21vs
Belarus U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/24/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Belgium U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Belgium U21 1-0 Belarus U21
Original prediction
Belgium U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 77.9% | 66.3% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.00 | 15.2% | 19.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 13.37 | 6.8% | 14.3% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Belgium U21
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Belgium U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20