Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Belasica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Belasica are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Teteks are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Belasica hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 35.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the Second League, while Belasica holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Belasica
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Belasica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40