Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pelister · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Belasica are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Pelister are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelister hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 76.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Second League, while Pelister holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pelister
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Pelister has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60