GGOALVIO

Macedonia · Second League · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belasica · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Belasica 1-1 Detonit Plachkovica

Original prediction

Belasica

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6654.9%41.5%-13.5 pts
Draw3.4426.5%28.3%1.8 pts
Away4.9018.6%30.2%11.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-13.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Belasica

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Belasica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BelasicaWWWWW

GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Detonit PlachkovicaWWLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BelasicaDetonit Plachkovica
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
83.3Power88.7
1.27xG1.17
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