Bekasi Cityvs
Sumsel United
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bekasi City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bekasi City 1-1 Sumsel United
Original prediction
Bekasi City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.8% | 39.1% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.3% | 27.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 28.9% | 33.0% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Bekasi City
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Bekasi City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40