Bekasi Cityvs
PSMS Medan
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 9/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSMS Medan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bekasi City 0-1 PSMS Medan
Original prediction
PSMS Medan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.43 | 16.5% | 32.7% | 16.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.6% | 26.2% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.45 | 61.9% | 41.2% | -20.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
PSMS Medan
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
PSMS Medan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80