GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Liga 2 · 10/10/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Bekasi City 4-0 PSGC Ciamis

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2041.1%35.1%-6.1 pts
Draw3.2328.0%30.1%2.1 pts
Away2.9430.9%34.9%4.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.1%

Model confidence

35.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bekasi CityLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PSGC CiamisWLWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Bekasi CityPSGC Ciamis
16.7Attack41.7
58.3Defence58.3
8.3Form50.0
31.2Power51.8
1.05xG1.20
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