Beitar Nahariyavs
Hapoel Beit Shean
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beitar Nahariya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beitar Nahariya 0-2 Hapoel Beit Shean
Original prediction
Beitar Nahariya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.0% | 48.3% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 26.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.4% | 25.2% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Beitar Nahariya
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Beitar Nahariya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80