Beitar Jerusalemvs
Maccabi Tel Aviv
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/19/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beitar Jerusalem 0-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Original prediction
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 31.3% | 28.7% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.3% | 23.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.4% | 47.9% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80