Beitar Jerusalemvs
Maccabi Netanya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 8/29/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beitar Jerusalem · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beitar Jerusalem 1-4 Maccabi Netanya
Original prediction
Beitar Jerusalem
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.9% | 46.7% | -18.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.7% | 26.6% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 5.91 | 15.4% | 26.7% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Beitar Jerusalem
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Beitar Jerusalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00