Toto Cup Ligat AlToto Cup Ligat Al
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem

Home
WD
22
Full time
Hapoel Tel Aviv

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Away
D
Teddy Stadium
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Beitar Jerusalem(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Beitar Jerusalem
41%
Draw
35%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Beitar Jerusalem
54
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9
Defence
Beitar Jerusalem
66
Hapoel Tel Aviv
91
Momentum
Beitar Jerusalem
67
Hapoel Tel Aviv
33
Danger (xG)
Beitar Jerusalem
1.35
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Beitar Jerusalem)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Hapoel Tel Aviv)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Beitar Jerusalem)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Hapoel Tel Aviv)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
WD
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
DLW

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Beitar Jerusalem41%
Draw35%
Hapoel Tel Aviv24%

Beitar Jerusalem leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Beitar Jerusalem head into this in Toto Cup Ligat Al fixture at Teddy Stadium in mixed form (WD), while Hapoel Tel Aviv arrive in mixed form (D). Beitar Jerusalem have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Hapoel Tel Aviv over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Beitar Jerusalem (66/100) and Hapoel Tel Aviv (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Beitar Jerusalem have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Hapoel Tel Aviv have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Beitar Jerusalem to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Beitar Jerusalem 4054%, Draw 3500%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 2446%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem

W
@ Maccabi Tel Aviv
16 May 2026
21
D
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
12 May 2026
11
Hapoel Tel Aviv

Hapoel Tel Aviv

D
@ Dukla Banská Bystrica
14 Jul 2026
00
L
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
15 May 2026
02
W
vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
12 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

GoalVio's model predicts Beitar Jerusalem to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more