GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/6/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beitar Jerusalem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beitar Jerusalem are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hapoel Katamon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Katamon hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Beitar Jerusalem holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beitar Jerusalem

Probability

35.2%

Model confidence

35.2%

Beitar Jerusalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beitar JerusalemLWDLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel KatamonLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Beitar JerusalemHapoel Katamon
66.7Attack58.3
33.3Defence50.0
33.3Form58.3
45.3Power57.5
1.60xG1.59
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