Beitar Jerusalemvs
Hapoel Haifa
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/19/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beitar Jerusalem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beitar Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel Haifa
Original prediction
Beitar Jerusalem
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.6% | 37.8% | -18.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.5% | 25.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.39 | 20.9% | 36.9% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Beitar Jerusalem
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Beitar Jerusalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80