GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 8/28/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beitar Jerusalem · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beitar Jerusalem are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLDW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Hapoel Haifa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Haifa hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Beitar Jerusalem holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beitar Jerusalem

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Beitar Jerusalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beitar JerusalemLLDW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Hapoel HaifaDWDLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Beitar JerusalemHapoel Haifa
45.5Attack44.4
59.6Defence56.5
41.4Form54.6
49.4Power53.6
1.25xG1.00
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