GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 7/31/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beitar Jerusalem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beitar Jerusalem are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hapoel Hadera are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Beitar Jerusalem hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Beitar Jerusalem holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beitar Jerusalem

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Beitar Jerusalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beitar JerusalemDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel HaderaLWDLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Beitar JerusalemHapoel Hadera
66.7Attack40.0
33.3Defence46.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power43.0
1.74xG1.28
View match centre →