Beitar Jerusalemvs
Hapoel Hadera
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/18/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beitar Jerusalem · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Beitar Jerusalem are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hapoel Hadera are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beitar Jerusalem hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Beitar Jerusalem holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beitar Jerusalem
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Beitar Jerusalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00