Beşiktaşvs
Shakhtar Donetsk
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/24/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Beşiktaş are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shakhtar Donetsk are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 53.2-point power-rating edge (84.6 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beşiktaş
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60