GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/24/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beşiktaş are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shakhtar Donetsk are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 53.2-point power-rating edge (84.6 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beşiktaş

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BeşiktaşLLDWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shakhtar DonetskDWDWD

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BeşiktaşShakhtar Donetsk
41.7Attack50.0
100.0Defence16.7
100.0Form16.7
84.6Power31.3
1.88xG0.93
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