GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/20/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beşiktaş · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Beşiktaş are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pendikspor are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Süper Lig, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beşiktaş

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

60.9%

Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BeşiktaşWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PendiksporLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BeşiktaşPendikspor
45.6Attack36.8
58.8Defence36.0
49.1Form32.5
52.3Power37.5
1.96xG0.80
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