Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beşiktaş · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beşiktaş 6-2 Çorum FK
Original prediction
Beşiktaş
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 66.6% | 48.4% | -18.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 20.3% | 26.2% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 7.20 | 13.0% | 25.4% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Beşiktaş
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BeşiktaşLLWWW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Çorum FKLDWWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BeşiktaşÇorum FK
16.7Attack33.3
83.3Defence50.0
50.0Form16.7
53.0Power36.5
1.44xG1.02