Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Beşiktaş are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Malmo FF are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 50.8-point power-rating edge (84.6 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beşiktaş
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20