GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/28/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beşiktaş are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (84.6 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beşiktaş

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BeşiktaşLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi Tel AvivWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BeşiktaşMaccabi Tel Aviv
41.7Attack75.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form75.0
84.6Power69.7
1.32xG1.24
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