Beşiktaşvs
Kocaelispor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beşiktaş 2-1 Kocaelispor
Original prediction
Beşiktaş
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 74.9% | 51.6% | -23.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.67 | 16.5% | 25.0% | 8.6 pts |
| Away | 10.80 | 8.6% | 23.3% | 14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Beşiktaş
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40