Beşiktaşvs
Kauno Žalgiris
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Beşiktaş are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (84.6 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beşiktaş
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
13.2%
Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40