UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş

Home
DLD
10
Full time
FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland

Away
W
Tüpraş Stadyumu
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Beşiktaş(30%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Beşiktaş
30%
Draw
27%
FC Midtjylland
43%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Beşiktaş
34
FC Midtjylland
99
Defence
Beşiktaş
53
FC Midtjylland
66
Momentum
Beşiktaş
22
FC Midtjylland
100
Danger (xG)
Beşiktaş
0.90
FC Midtjylland
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Beşiktaş)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (FC Midtjylland)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Beşiktaş)
1.20
avg per match
xG against (FC Midtjylland)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
LDDD
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
WDLDD

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Beşiktaş30%
Draw27%
FC Midtjylland43%

FC Midtjylland leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Beşiktaş head into this in UEFA Europa League fixture at Tüpraş Stadyumu in mixed form (DLD), while FC Midtjylland arrive in mixed form (W). Beşiktaş have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 100% for FC Midtjylland over 1 games.

Tactically, FC Midtjylland hold the edge. Their elite attack (99/100) is pitted against a average Beşiktaş defence (53/100), while Beşiktaş's attack faces a solid FC Midtjylland backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Beşiktaş have limited home data in the engine at this stage. FC Midtjylland have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per away game.

FC Midtjylland have generated 1.34 xG per game recently while conceding 2.25 xG per match.

There is no head-to-head data between Beşiktaş and FC Midtjylland in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Beşiktaş to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Beşiktaş 2973%, Draw 2707%, FC Midtjylland 4320%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş

L
@ Spartak Trnava
14 Jul 2026
23
D
@ Malženice
14 Jul 2026
11
D
@ MTE 1904
5 Jul 2026
00
D
@ Rizespor
15 May 2026
22
FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland

W
vs Odense
17 Jul 2026
41
D
@ Malmo FF
26 Jun 2026
22
L
vs Brondby
17 May 2026
23
xG 1.9
D
@ FC Copenhagen
14 May 2026
00
D
@ FC Nordsjaelland
10 May 2026
00
xG 0.7

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Beşiktaş vs FC Midtjylland?

GoalVio's model predicts Beşiktaş to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs FC Midtjylland?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Beşiktaş vs FC Midtjylland?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Beşiktaş vs FC Midtjylland?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more