Beşiktaşvs
Erzurumspor FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 9/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FK
Original prediction
Beşiktaş
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 76.7% | 64.8% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.05 | 15.4% | 19.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 11.86 | 7.9% | 15.4% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Beşiktaş
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80