Beşiktaşvs
Başakşehir
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beşiktaş 2-0 Başakşehir
Original prediction
Beşiktaş
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 69.3% | 60.8% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.25 | 17.9% | 20.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 7.36 | 12.8% | 19.1% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Beşiktaş
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BeşiktaşDLWWL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BaşakşehirWDWLL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BeşiktaşBaşakşehir
66.7Attack50.0
58.3Defence50.0
62.5Form45.8
62.4Power48.4
2.10xG1.13