GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2025, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beşiktaş · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beşiktaş are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Athletic Club are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (84.6 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beşiktaş

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BeşiktaşDWDDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BeşiktaşAthletic Club
41.7Attack52.4
100.0Defence59.5
100.0Form61.9
84.6Power58.7
1.30xG1.06
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