GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Pengrui · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Beijing Pengrui are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shenzhen Juniors are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Pengrui hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the FA Cup, while Beijing Pengrui holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Pengrui

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

13.9%

Beijing Pengrui has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beijing PengruiW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Shenzhen JuniorsWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Beijing PengruiShenzhen Juniors
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power47.8
1.42xG1.10
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