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Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 10:12
Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan

Home
DW
10
Full time
Wuhan Three Towns

Wuhan Three Towns

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
56% confidence
Beijing Guoan(56%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Beijing Guoan
Win probability
Beijing Guoan
56%
Draw
21%
Wuhan Three Towns
23%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Beijing Guoan
54
Wuhan Three Towns
73
Defence
Beijing Guoan
82
Wuhan Three Towns
6
Momentum
Beijing Guoan
67
Wuhan Three Towns
0
Danger (xG)
Beijing Guoan
1.35
Wuhan Three Towns
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Beijing Guoan)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Wuhan Three Towns)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Beijing Guoan)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Wuhan Three Towns)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
DWWW
Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns
LLD

Probability breakdown

56% confidence
Beijing Guoan56%
Draw21%
Wuhan Three Towns23%

Beijing Guoan leads with 56% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Beijing Guoan head into this in Super League fixture in mixed form (DW), while Wuhan Three Towns arrive in mixed form (L). Beijing Guoan have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Wuhan Three Towns over 1 games.

The model rates Beijing Guoan's attack at 54/100 against a 6/100 Wuhan Three Towns defence, and Wuhan Three Towns's attack at 73/100 against a 82/100 Beijing Guoan backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Beijing Guoan have won 3 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game at home. Wuhan Three Towns have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Beijing Guoan have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Beijing Guoan to win with 56% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Beijing Guoan 5630%, Draw 2090%, Wuhan Three Towns 2290%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Beijing Guoan 1Draws 00 Wuhan Three Towns
Avg goals: 1.0
27 Jun 2026
Beijing Guoan
W10
Wuhan Three Towns

Recent form

Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan

D
vs Shenyang Urban
17 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Shandong Luneng
4 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Wuhan Three Towns
27 Jun 2026
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W
vs Qingdao Jonoon
15 May 2026
42
Wuhan Three Towns

Wuhan Three Towns

L
@ Dalian Zhixing
4 Jul 2026
23
L
@ Beijing Guoan
27 Jun 2026
01
D
vs Shenyang Urban
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns?

GoalVio's model predicts Beijing Guoan to win with 56% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more