GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/25/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beijing Guoan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tianjin Teda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beijing GuoanWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tianjin TedaLWDLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Beijing GuoanTianjin Teda
60.3Attack47.6
57.1Defence58.7
54.0Form42.9
58.1Power50.7
1.65xG1.10
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