Beijing Guoanvs
SHANGHAI SIPG
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 5/10/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Beijing Guoan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beijing Guoan
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40