GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/10/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beijing Guoan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beijing GuoanWDLWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SHANGHAI SIPGDLWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Beijing GuoanSHANGHAI SIPG
60.3Attack54.5
57.1Defence53.0
54.0Form45.5
58.1Power52.3
1.87xG1.27
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