GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/21/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beijing Guoan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shanghai Shenhua are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beijing GuoanLWLWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shanghai ShenhuaDWLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Beijing GuoanShanghai Shenhua
60.3Attack60.3
57.1Defence46.0
54.0Form50.8
58.1Power53.6
2.14xG1.41
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