GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Beijing Guoan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Qingdao Jonoon are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.2% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

68.2%

Model confidence

68.2%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beijing GuoanDWDLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Qingdao JonoonWWWWL

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Beijing GuoanQingdao Jonoon
60.3Attack44.9
57.1Defence36.2
54.0Form30.4
58.1Power38.9
2.64xG1.01
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